Incident #66
The most recent tracked incident was a positive nuclear alert triggered by combined conditions. Across the visible window, the game added 0 reviews, the current 1-hour directional delta sits at 519, and the incident peak reached 519 in 1 hour. 1 earlier incident have already resolved.
Alert explainability
This positive momentum alert is currently nuclear because the last-hour direction delta reached 519 reviews (519 over 6h), with 103.8x baseline intensity, evaluated under combined conditions and stale references.
Direction: Positive
Current tier: NUCLEAR
Peak tier: NUCLEAR
Model: V2
Trigger: combined
Freshness: stale
1h direction delta: 519
6h direction delta: 519
Baseline multiple: 103.8x
Score change (6h): -2.9%
Open since: Apr 14, 2026, 8:59 AM
Resolved at: Apr 14, 2026, 9:29 AM
Window end: Apr 14, 2026, 9:08 AM
Confidence score
HIGHBefore / after
Window from Apr 14, 2026, 8:58 AM to Apr 14, 2026, 9:28 AM.
Score before
68.0%
Score now
68.0%
Change
0.0%
Reviews added
0
Peak velocity
38/h
Counterfactual baseline
Observed velocity is running at least 2x expected baseline, indicating a strong anomaly.
Velocity 1h
Observed 37.9
Expected 5.4
Delta +32.4 (6.97x)
Score sensitivity
Observed 68.0%
Expected 68.0%
Delta 0.0 pt
Negative share
Observed 31.6%
Expected 31.6%
Delta 0.0 pp
Composite impact score
moderate (36)Tier severity
+35
Review volume delta
+0
Peak velocity
+1
Score movement
+0
Resolution duration
+0
Likely cause ranking
Probabilities are heuristic and derived from approved tag assignments, classifier confidence, and editorial overrides.
52%
Sustained positive flow indicates sentiment recovery.
48%
Positive burst indicates concentrated review acceleration.
Incident FAQ
Auto-generated summary designed for quick sharing, operations handoffs, and SEO-friendly incident context.
What happened?
The Wild Eight entered a positive nuclear incident with 0 additional reviews in the tracked window.
How severe was it?
Incident reached nuclear severity, indicating maximum modeled pressure. Composite impact score is 36/100 (MODERATE).
What are the most likely causes?
Positive Turnaround 52% • Community Event 48%
Is it resolving?
Resolved after 30 m with still elevated current sentiment state.
How far did sentiment move from normal?
Score moved by 0.0 points, from 68.0% to 68.0%. Peak velocity reached 38 reviews/hour.
Does it resemble a broader cluster?
No related incidents were detected across connected titles in the current comparison window.
External trigger timeline
Correlates model milestones with seasonal overlap and cause evidence to explain likely trigger context.
Apr 13, 2026, 8:46 AM
Peak pressure window
Peak tier reached NUCLEAR.
Apr 14, 2026, 8:59 AM
Incident opened
Model opened a positive nuclear incident via combined trigger logic.
Apr 14, 2026, 8:59 AM
Likely cause: Positive Turnaround
Sustained positive flow indicates sentiment recovery. (alerts.trigger_type)
Apr 14, 2026, 8:59 AM
Likely cause: Community Event
Positive burst indicates concentrated review acceleration. (alerts.trigger_type)
Apr 14, 2026, 9:28 AM
Baseline divergence
1h direction velocity ran at 103.80x slot baseline.
Apr 14, 2026, 9:29 AM
Incident resolved
Incident exited alert thresholds and moved to resolved state.
Anomaly explanation tree
Structured reason tree showing what opened the alert, what confirmed it, which factors reduced confidence, and how likely causes were assigned.
1) Opened by
Burst velocity anomaly
Baseline multiple 103.80x exceeded opening threshold.
Directional pressure (1h)
Direction delta 519 and share 0.56 informed open decision.
2) Confirmed by
Tier progression
Current tier: nuclear, peak: nuclear, trigger: combined.
Score trend confirmation
6h score change at -2.86%.
3) Confidence dampeners
Freshness gate
Freshness state is stale.
Direction coherence
Positive pressure pattern lowers negative-risk interpretation.
4) Tag assignment outcomes
Positive Turnaround
70% confidence from 1 evidence items and 1 rules.
Community Event
64% confidence from 2 evidence items and 1 rules.
Evidence provenance
Audit view of the concrete signals, rule identifiers, and evidence sources that contributed to this incident interpretation.
Core signals
Direction delta 1h
519
alerts.metadata.current_metrics.direction_delta_1h
Short-window directional review acceleration used in live alert scoring.
Direction share 1h
0.56
alerts.metadata.current_metrics.direction_share_1h
Directional concentration used to distinguish coordinated or concentrated pressure.
Baseline ratio 1h
103.80
alerts.metadata.current_metrics.slot_baseline_ratio_1h
Observed velocity relative to expected slot baseline for this game/time bucket.
Score change 6h
-2.86
alerts.metadata.current_metrics.score_change_percent_6h
Medium-window score movement used for sustained confirmation.
Applied rules
Cause evidence trail
Positive Turnaround
COMBINED
alerts.trigger_type
Sustained positive flow indicates sentiment recovery.
Community Event
COMBINED
alerts.trigger_type
Positive burst indicates concentrated review acceleration.
Community Event
false
seasonal_events
No COMMUNITY event overlap detected.
Why this moved
TRIGGER
Both a 1-hour burst (519 reviews) and a 6-hour sustained wave (519 reviews) converged, each independently meeting nuclear thresholds.
SEVERITY
The incident peaked at nuclear tier within the first hour. It ran for 0h total.
SCORE
Score moved from 70.0% to 68.0% (+2.0 pts) at peak.
Recovery tracking
Forecast ETA to normalize sentiment: Now (LOW confidence)
Post-incident behaviour is close to expected baseline levels.
Not enough post-resolve snapshot history yet — metrics will fill in as data accumulates.
Time to peak
-1453 m
Time to resolve
30 m
Score at start
70.0%
Score at peak
68.0%
Uplift
2.0 pt
Recovered +24 h
n/a
Recovered +7 d
n/a
Recovered +30 d
n/a
Sentiment stabilised
No
Incident velocity window
Alert timeline
Escalation history across active and resolved incidents for this game.
Started Apr 14, 2026, 8:59 AM
Opened at nuclear severity
Apr 14, 2026, 8:58 AM
Trigger: combined
Peaked at nuclear severity
Apr 14, 2026, 9:08 AM
Resolved from nuclear severity
Apr 14, 2026, 9:28 AM
Portfolio blast radius
Isolated
No meaningful spread to other related titles right now.
Related active
0
Resolved (14d)
0
Impacted titles
0
Global active
0
No related active or recently resolved incidents were found.
